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Toss-up · 2006 House
Iowa House
In the 2006 Iowa House race, Bruce L. Braley (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+11.8
Final polls said
D+14.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+11.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+7.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Selzer & Co. | D+21.0 | 9.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Selzer & Co.2006-11-029
Zogby Analytics2006-10-265
Normington, Petts & Associates2006-10-071
Zogby Analytics2006-09-2925
Selzer & Co.2006-09-125
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Iowa House race?
Bruce L. Braley (D) won, by about 11.8 points (D+11.8).
When was the 2006 Iowa House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.