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Toss-up · 2006 House
Minnesota House
In the 2006 Minnesota House race, Michele Bachmann (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+8.0
Final polls said
R+6.0
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+7.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | R+10.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Feldman Group | R+3.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | RT Strategies | R+1.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Minneapolis Star Tribune | D+8.0 | 16.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-021
Zogby Analytics2006-10-262
RT Strategies2006-10-257
SurveyUSA2006-10-232
RT Strategies2006-10-0913
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Minnesota House race?
Michele Bachmann (R) won, by about 8.0 points (R+8.0).
When was the 2006 Minnesota House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.