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Toss-up · 2006 House
North Carolina House
In the 2006 North Carolina House race, Robert C. Hayes (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.3
Final polls said
R+6.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OnPoint | R+1.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | RT Strategies | D+4.0 | 4.3 | ✗ |
| 3 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+16.0 | 15.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RT Strategies2006-10-254
Public Opinion Strategies2006-10-1616
RT Strategies2006-10-097
OnPoint2006-10-041
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 North Carolina House race?
Robert C. Hayes (R) won, by about 0.3 points (R+0.3).
When was the 2006 North Carolina House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.