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Toss-up · 2006 House

New Hampshire House

In the 2006 New Hampshire House race, Carol Shea-Porter (D) won by about 3 points.

Actual result
D+2.6
Final polls said
R+7.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
Winner
Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1University of New Hampshire Survey CenterR+9.011.6
2Becker InstituteR+12.014.6
3American Research GroupR+12.014.6

The polls behind it

5 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2006-11-0412
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2006-10-318
Becker Institute2006-10-0715
American Research Group2006-10-0715
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2006-09-1922

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2006 New Hampshire House race?

Carol Shea-Porter (D) won, by about 2.6 points (D+2.6).

When was the 2006 New Hampshire House election held?

It was held in November 2006.

Which party matches you?

These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.

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