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Toss-up · 2006 House
New Jersey House
In the 2006 New Jersey House race, Michael Ferguson (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.5
Final polls said
R+3.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RT Strategies | R+3.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Tarrance Group | R+15.0 | 13.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RT Strategies2006-10-252
Tarrance Group2006-10-1014
RT Strategies2006-10-091
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 New Jersey House race?
Michael Ferguson (R) won, by about 1.5 points (R+1.5).
When was the 2006 New Jersey House election held?
It was held in November 2006.