Actual result
D+49.3
Final polls said
D+51.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
D+43.6
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+51.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | D+43.6 | 5.7 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc. | 2006-11-01 | 168 | D+51.0 | 2 |
| Research & Polling Inc. | 2006-09-27 | 400 | D+48.0 | 1 |