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Toss-up · 2006 House
New York House
In the 2006 New York House race, Daniel B. Maffei (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.1
Final polls said
R+0.5
4 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+4.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | RT Strategies | D+9.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Benenson Strategy Group | R+2.0 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 4 | Jeffrey Stonecash | R+13.0 | 17.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Jeffrey Stonecash2006-10-2917
Zogby Analytics2006-10-280
Benenson Strategy Group2006-10-256
RT Strategies2006-10-255
RT Strategies2006-10-094
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 New York House race?
Daniel B. Maffei (D) won, by about 4.1 points (D+4.1).
When was the 2006 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.