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Toss-up · 2006 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2006 Pennsylvania House race, Jason Altmire (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+3.9
Final polls said
R+6.7
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RT Strategies | R+4.0 | 7.9 | ✗ |
| 2 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+4.0 | 7.9 | ✗ |
| 3 | Impact Research | R+4.0 | 7.9 | ✗ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+12.0 | 15.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RT Strategies2006-10-258
Public Opinion Strategies2006-10-2316
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2006-10-228
Impact Research2006-09-198
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Pennsylvania House race?
Jason Altmire (D) won, by about 3.9 points (D+3.9).
When was the 2006 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.