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Toss-up · 2006 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2006 Pennsylvania House race, Patrick J. Murphy (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.6
Final polls said
R+0.4
5 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RT Strategies | D+3.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Grove Insight | D+4.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Global Strategy Group | D+5.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion | R+5.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 5 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | R+9.0 | 9.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Global Strategy Group2006-10-294
Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion2006-10-266
RT Strategies2006-10-252
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2006-10-2110
Grove Insight2006-10-153
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Pennsylvania House race?
Patrick J. Murphy (D) won, by about 0.6 points (D+0.6).
When was the 2006 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2006.