Actual result
D+17.8
Final polls said
D+16.7
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
D+13.3
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RT Strategies | D+17.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+21.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor | D+13.3 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Polling Company Inc. | D+12.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normington, Petts & Associates | 2006-10-09 | 400 | D+21.0 | 3 |
| RT Strategies | 2006-10-09 | 442 | D+17.0 | 1 |
| The Polling Company Inc. | 2006-10-04 | 442 | D+12.0 | 6 |