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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Arizona Senate
In the 2006 Arizona Senate race, Jon Kyl (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.8
Final polls said
R+7.1
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+9.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | R+9.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | R+7.4 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+13.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy | R+6.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence | R+4.5 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | YouGov | R+4.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | R+16.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-013
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-012
YouGov2006-10-316
Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence2006-10-275
Zogby Analytics2006-10-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Arizona Senate race?
Jon Kyl (R) won, by about 9.8 points (R+9.8).
When was the 2006 Arizona Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.