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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Arizona Senate
In the 2006 Arizona Senate race, Jon Kyl (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.8
Final polls said
R+7.1
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+9.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | R+9.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | R+7.4 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+13.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy | R+6.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence | R+4.5 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | YouGov | R+4.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | R+16.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-013
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-012
YouGov2006-10-316
Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence2006-10-275
Zogby Analytics2006-10-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Arizona Senate race?
Jon Kyl (R) won, by about 9.8 points (R+9.8).
When was the 2006 Arizona Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.