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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Maryland Senate
In the 2006 Maryland Senate race, Benjamin L. Cardin (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.0
Final polls said
D+5.2
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+11.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+12.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+6.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Potomac Incorporated | D+6.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Gallup | D+15.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+4.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+3.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | Voter/Consumer Research | D+2.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
24 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-047
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-027
SurveyUSA2006-11-0110
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-015
YouGov2006-10-314
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Maryland Senate race?
Benjamin L. Cardin (D) won, by about 10.0 points (D+10.0).
When was the 2006 Maryland Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.