← all past elections
Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Maryland Senate
In the 2006 Maryland Senate race, Benjamin L. Cardin (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.0
Final polls said
D+5.2
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+11.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+12.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+6.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Potomac Incorporated | D+6.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Gallup | D+15.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+4.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+3.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | Voter/Consumer Research | D+2.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
24 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-047
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-027
SurveyUSA2006-11-0110
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-015
YouGov2006-10-314
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Maryland Senate race?
Benjamin L. Cardin (D) won, by about 10.0 points (D+10.0).
When was the 2006 Maryland Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.