Actual result
R+53.6
Final polls said
R+53.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+49.6
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+49.6 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Digital Research | R+60.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+46.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital Research | 2006-10-20 | 600 | R+60.0 | 6 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2006-10-17 | 500 | R+46.0 | 8 |