← all past elections
Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Missouri Senate
In the 2006 Missouri Senate race, Claire McCaskill (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.3
Final polls said
D+0.9
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OnPoint | D+3.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+3.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+1.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Gallup | D+4.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | EVEN | 2.3 | ✗ |
| 6 | Big Village | EVEN | 2.3 | ✗ |
| 7 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+5.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+1.0 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 9 | SurveyUSA | D+6.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 10 | Los Angeles Times | R+3.0 | 5.3 | ✗ |
| 11 | The Polling Company Inc. | D+9.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
28 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
OnPoint2006-11-061
SurveyUSA2006-11-054
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-053
Gallup2006-11-032
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-021
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Missouri Senate race?
Claire McCaskill (D) won, by about 2.3 points (D+2.3).
When was the 2006 Missouri Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.