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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Montana Senate
In the 2006 Montana Senate race, Jon Tester (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.9
Final polls said
D+3.6
10 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+1.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 0.9 | ✗ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | OnPoint | D+5.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Harstad Strategic Research | D+6.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Gallup | D+9.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | The Polling Company Inc. | D+9.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Montana State University Billings | D+11.0 | 10.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
OnPoint2006-11-064
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-041
Gallup2006-11-028
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-011
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-013
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Montana Senate race?
Jon Tester (D) won, by about 0.9 points (D+0.9).
When was the 2006 Montana Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.