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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
New York Senate
In the 2006 New York Senate race, Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won by about 32 points.
Actual result
D+31.6
Final polls said
D+32.6
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marist College | D+33.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+30.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | D+35.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Siena College | D+37.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | D+24.3 | 7.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2006-10-315
Marist College2006-10-311
Zogby Analytics2006-10-257
Marist College2006-10-174
Quinnipiac University2006-10-133
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 New York Senate race?
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won, by about 31.6 points (D+31.6).
When was the 2006 New York Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.