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Toss-up · 2008 Governor
Indiana Governor
In the 2008 Indiana Governor race, Mitchell Daniels, Jr. (R) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
R+17.8
Final polls said
R+21.5
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Selzer & Co. | R+18.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+17.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+16.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Bellwether Research & Consulting | R+21.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+22.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | R+23.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Howey Politics/DePauw University | R+31.0 | 13.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2008-11-015
SurveyUSA2008-10-291
Selzer & Co.2008-10-270
Howey Politics/DePauw University2008-10-2313
SurveyUSA2008-10-211
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Indiana Governor race?
Mitchell Daniels, Jr. (R) won, by about 17.8 points (R+17.8).
When was the 2008 Indiana Governor election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.