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Toss-up · 2008 Governor
Missouri Governor
In the 2008 Missouri Governor race, Jay Nixon (D) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
D+18.9
Final polls said
D+17.2
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+19.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+19.5 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+15.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-11-014
Public Policy Polling2008-11-011
SurveyUSA2008-10-252
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-140
SurveyUSA2008-10-113
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Missouri Governor race?
Jay Nixon (D) won, by about 18.9 points (D+18.9).
When was the 2008 Missouri Governor election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.