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Toss-up · 2008 Governor
New Hampshire Governor
In the 2008 New Hampshire Governor race, John Lynch (D) won by about 43 points.
Actual result
D+42.6
Final polls said
D+47.9
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | D+40.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+47.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+37.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Suffolk University | D+52.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | GfK Group | D+56.0 | 13.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Saint Anselm College Survey Center | D+66.0 | 23.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-11-014
American Research Group2008-10-293
SurveyUSA2008-10-296
Suffolk University2008-10-289
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-10-288
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Hampshire Governor race?
John Lynch (D) won, by about 42.6 points (D+42.6).
When was the 2008 New Hampshire Governor election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.