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Toss-up · 2008 House
Connecticut House
In the 2008 Connecticut House race, Jim Himes (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.8
Final polls said
R+6.0
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Connecticut | EVEN | 0.8 | ✗ |
| 2 | Feldman Group | EVEN | 0.8 | ✗ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | GreatBlue Research | R+10.0 | 10.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-132
University of Connecticut2008-10-121
University of Connecticut2008-09-2522
GreatBlue Research2008-09-2411
Feldman Group2008-09-171
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Connecticut House race?
Jim Himes (D) won, by about 0.8 points (D+0.8).
When was the 2008 Connecticut House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.