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Toss-up · 2008 House
Florida House
In the 2008 Florida House race, Vern Buchanan (R) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
R+18.1
Final polls said
R+17.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+20.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+16.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Feldman Group | R+4.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2008-10-082
Public Opinion Strategies2008-10-012
SurveyUSA2008-09-302
Feldman Group2008-09-2214
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Florida House race?
Vern Buchanan (R) won, by about 18.1 points (R+18.1).
When was the 2008 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.