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Toss-up · 2008 House
Illinois House
In the 2008 Illinois House race, Deborah Halvorson (D) won by about 24 points.
Actual result
D+23.9
Final polls said
D+17.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+21.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Impact Research | D+19.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+13.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+2.0 | 21.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-2011
Normington, Petts & Associates2008-10-153
Impact Research2008-10-125
Public Opinion Strategies2008-09-1722
Impact Research2008-09-1516
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Illinois House race?
Deborah Halvorson (D) won, by about 23.9 points (D+23.9).
When was the 2008 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.