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Toss-up · 2008 House
Michigan House
In the 2008 Michigan House race, Mark Schauer (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.3
Final polls said
R+1.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+8.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | National Research | R+10.0 | 12.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Benenson Strategy Group2008-10-066
National Research2008-09-1512
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Michigan House race?
Mark Schauer (D) won, by about 2.3 points (D+2.3).
When was the 2008 Michigan House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.