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Toss-up · 2008 House
Minnesota House
In the 2008 Minnesota House race, Erik Paulsen (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+7.6
Final polls said
R+3.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+5.0 | 12.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-293
SurveyUSA2008-10-267
SurveyUSA2008-10-0611
Normington, Petts & Associates2008-09-2913
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Minnesota House race?
Erik Paulsen (R) won, by about 7.6 points (R+7.6).
When was the 2008 Minnesota House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.