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Toss-up · 2008 House
North Carolina House
In the 2008 North Carolina House race, Lawrence Webb Kissell (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+10.8
Final polls said
D+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GQR | D+11.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+8.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+5.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+3.0 | 13.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2008-10-266
SurveyUSA2008-10-043
GQR2008-09-280
Public Opinion Strategies2008-09-2414
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 North Carolina House race?
Lawrence Webb Kissell (D) won, by about 10.8 points (D+10.8).
When was the 2008 North Carolina House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.