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Toss-up · 2008 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2008 New Hampshire House race, Carol Shea-Porter (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.9
Final polls said
D+5.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+5.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Saint Anselm College Survey Center | D+7.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+9.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-11-011
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-10-283
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-10-252
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-10-201
SurveyUSA2008-10-043
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Hampshire House race?
Carol Shea-Porter (D) won, by about 5.9 points (D+5.9).
When was the 2008 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.