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Toss-up · 2008 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2008 New Hampshire House race, Paul W. Hodes (D) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
D+15.0
Final polls said
D+24.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Impact Research | D+18.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+21.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+4.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-11-016
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-10-2813
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-10-257
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-10-2011
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-09-183
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Hampshire House race?
Paul W. Hodes (D) won, by about 15.0 points (D+15.0).
When was the 2008 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.