← all past elections
Toss-up · 2008 House
New Jersey House
In the 2008 New Jersey House race, John H. Adler (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.2
Final polls said
D+8.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grove Insight | D+8.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | R+1.4 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 3 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+3.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 4 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+4.0 | 8.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Grove Insight2008-10-154
Grove Insight2008-10-020
Monmouth University Polling Institute2008-10-017
Zogby Analytics2008-09-196
McLaughlin & Associates2008-09-088
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Jersey House race?
John H. Adler (D) won, by about 4.2 points (D+4.2).
When was the 2008 New Jersey House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.