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Toss-up · 2008 House
New Jersey House
In the 2008 New Jersey House race, Leonard Lance (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+8.0
Final polls said
R+9.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | National Research | R+9.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+4.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+9.0 | 17.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
National Research2008-10-211
Benenson Strategy Group2008-10-0817
Monmouth University Polling Institute2008-10-014
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Jersey House race?
Leonard Lance (R) won, by about 8.0 points (R+8.0).
When was the 2008 New Jersey House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.