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Toss-up · 2008 House
New Jersey House
In the 2008 New Jersey House race, Leonard Lance (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+8.0
Final polls said
R+9.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | National Research | R+9.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+4.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+9.0 | 17.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
National Research2008-10-211
Benenson Strategy Group2008-10-0817
Monmouth University Polling Institute2008-10-014
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Jersey House race?
Leonard Lance (R) won, by about 8.0 points (R+8.0).
When was the 2008 New Jersey House election held?
It was held in November 2008.