Actual result
D+26.3
Final polls said
D+28.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
D+25.7
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | D+25.7 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+28.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc. | 2008-10-29 | 207 | D+28.0 | 2 |
| Research & Polling Inc. | 2008-10-01 | 442 | D+23.0 | 3 |