← all past elections
Toss-up · 2008 House
Ohio House
In the 2008 Ohio House race, Mary Jo Kilroy (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.8
Final polls said
D+7.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+6.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | D+8.0 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+9.0 | 8.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-255
Benenson Strategy Group2008-10-218
GQR2008-10-197
GQR2008-09-307
SurveyUSA2008-09-204
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Ohio House race?
Mary Jo Kilroy (D) won, by about 0.8 points (D+0.8).
When was the 2008 Ohio House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.