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Toss-up · 2008 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2008 Pennsylvania House race, Christopher P. Carney (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.7
Final polls said
D+15.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Momentum Analysis | D+14.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Lycoming College Polling Institute | D+15.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | D+15.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Lycoming College Polling Institute2008-10-212
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2008-10-022
Momentum Analysis2008-09-301
Lycoming College Polling Institute2008-09-233
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Pennsylvania House race?
Christopher P. Carney (D) won, by about 12.7 points (D+12.7).
When was the 2008 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.