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Toss-up · 2008 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2008 Pennsylvania House race, Christopher P. Carney (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.7
Final polls said
D+15.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Momentum Analysis | D+14.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Lycoming College Polling Institute | D+15.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | D+15.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Lycoming College Polling Institute2008-10-212
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2008-10-022
Momentum Analysis2008-09-301
Lycoming College Polling Institute2008-09-233
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Pennsylvania House race?
Christopher P. Carney (D) won, by about 12.7 points (D+12.7).
When was the 2008 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2008.