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Toss-up · 2008 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2008 Pennsylvania House race, Paul E. Kanjorski (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.3
Final polls said
R+6.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grove Insight | D+8.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | R+5.0 | 8.3 | ✗ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | R+6.0 | 9.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+8.0 | 11.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-11-019
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2008-10-108
Grove Insight2008-10-055
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2008-10-0211
Grove Insight2008-09-146
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Pennsylvania House race?
Paul E. Kanjorski (D) won, by about 3.3 points (D+3.3).
When was the 2008 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.