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Toss-up · 2008 President
Hawaii President
In the 2008 Hawaii President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 45 points.
Actual result
D+45.3
Final polls said
D+22.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+41.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | D+31.0 | 14.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+22.0 | 23.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2008-10-2523
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-09-234
American Research Group2008-09-0914
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Hawaii President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 45.3 points (D+45.3).
When was the 2008 Hawaii President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.