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Toss-up · 2008 President
Illinois President
In the 2008 Illinois President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
D+25.1
Final polls said
D+23.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Market Shares Corp. | D+24.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+22.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Big Ten | D+29.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+19.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | D+6.0 | 19.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-11-013
YouGov2008-10-256
Big Ten2008-10-214
Market Shares Corp.2008-10-171
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-138
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Illinois President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 25.1 points (D+25.1).
When was the 2008 Illinois President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.