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Toss-up · 2008 President
Montana President
In the 2008 Montana President race, John McCain (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+2.3
Final polls said
R+2.7
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | R+3.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+4.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 5 | Montana State University Billings | D+4.0 | 6.3 | ✗ |
| 6 | Big Village | R+9.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | YouGov | R+10.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2008-11-013
American Research Group2008-10-291
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-292
YouGov2008-10-258
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-10-242
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Montana President race?
John McCain (R) won, by about 2.3 points (R+2.3).
When was the 2008 Montana President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.