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Toss-up · 2008 President
Nevada President
In the 2008 Nevada President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.5
Final polls said
D+5.1
15 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GfK Group | D+12.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+11.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Suffolk University | D+10.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Big Village | D+7.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | D+5.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+5.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Policy Polling | D+4.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+4.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+4.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | Magellan Strategies | D+3.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | Grove Insight | D+2.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
| 12 | InsiderAdvantage | EVEN | 12.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
30 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2008-11-021
American Research Group2008-11-027
Zogby Analytics2008-11-015
Public Policy Polling2008-11-018
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-10-288
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Nevada President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 12.5 points (D+12.5).
When was the 2008 Nevada President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.