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Toss-up · 2008 President
Nevada President
In the 2008 Nevada President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.5
Final polls said
D+5.1
15 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GfK Group | D+12.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+11.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Suffolk University | D+10.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Big Village | D+7.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | D+5.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+5.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Policy Polling | D+4.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+4.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+4.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | Magellan Strategies | D+3.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | Grove Insight | D+2.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
| 12 | InsiderAdvantage | EVEN | 12.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
30 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2008-11-021
American Research Group2008-11-027
Zogby Analytics2008-11-015
Public Policy Polling2008-11-018
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-10-288
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Nevada President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 12.5 points (D+12.5).
When was the 2008 Nevada President election held?
It was held in November 2008.