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Toss-up · 2008 President
Oregon President
In the 2008 Oregon President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+16.4
Final polls said
D+15.4
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+15.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Moore Information Group | D+14.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Riley Research Associates | D+14.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+19.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | DHM Research | D+19.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Grove Insight | D+13.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+12.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | YouGov | D+11.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 9 | American Research Group | D+11.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 10 | Hoffman Research Group | D+7.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-304
Public Policy Polling2008-10-291
SurveyUSA2008-10-293
Moore Information Group2008-10-272
SurveyUSA2008-10-253
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Oregon President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 16.4 points (D+16.4).
When was the 2008 Oregon President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.