Toss-up · 2008 President

US President

In the 2008 US President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 7 points.

Actual result

D+7.4

Final polls said

D+7.1

79 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	GQR	D+7.0	0.4	✓
2	Opinion Dynamics	D+7.0	0.4	✓
3	Ipsos	D+7.0	0.4	✓
4	YouGov	D+7.0	0.4	✓
5	Knowledge Networks	D+7.0	0.4	✓
6	American Research Group	D+8.0	0.6	✓
7	Harris Insights & Analytics	D+8.0	0.6	✓
8	Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies	D+8.0	0.6	✓
9	Big Village	D+8.0	0.6	✓
10	Los Angeles Times	D+8.0	0.6	✓
11	Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)	D+6.0	1.4	✓
12	Pew Research Center	D+6.0	1.4	✓
13	Marist College	D+9.0	1.6	✓
14	CBS News	D+9.0	1.6	✓
15	ABC News/The Washington Post	D+9.0	1.6	✓
16	Big Ten	D+9.0	1.6	✓
17	Lake Research Partners/The Tarrance Group	D+5.0	2.4	✓
18	FTI Consulting	D+5.0	2.4	✓
19	Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research	D+5.0	2.4	✓
20	Abt Associates	D+5.0	2.4	✓
21	TIPP Insights	D+4.7	2.7	✓
22	Quinnipiac University	D+4.0	3.4	✓
23	Zogby Analytics	D+11.0	3.6	✓
24	Gallup	D+11.0	3.6	✓
25	The Winston Group	D+3.0	4.4	✓
26	Princeton Survey Research Associates International	D+12.0	4.6	✓
27	CBS News/The New York Times	D+13.0	5.6	✓
28	GfK Group	D+1.0	6.4	✓
29	InsiderAdvantage	EVEN	7.4	✗
30	Public Opinion Strategies	R+3.0	10.4	✗