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Toss-up · 2008 President
Washington President
In the 2008 Washington President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+17.2
Final polls said
D+15.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+16.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Elway Research | D+19.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of Washington Center for Survey Research | D+12.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+11.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+10.0 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | D+6.0 | 11.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-11-011
University of Washington Center for Survey Research2008-10-295
SurveyUSA2008-10-260
YouGov2008-10-257
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-226
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Washington President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 17.2 points (D+17.2).
When was the 2008 Washington President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.