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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Illinois Senate
In the 2008 Illinois Senate race, Richard J. Durbin (D) won by about 39 points.
Actual result
D+39.3
Final polls said
D+23.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+31.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+23.0 | 16.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2008-10-2516
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-138
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-09-1715
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Illinois Senate race?
Richard J. Durbin (D) won, by about 39.3 points (D+39.3).
When was the 2008 Illinois Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.