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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Maine Senate
In the 2008 Maine Senate race, Susan M. Collins (R) won by about 23 points.
Actual result
R+22.8
Final polls said
R+15.9
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pan Atlantic Research | R+21.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | R+20.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Market Decisions Research | R+17.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+16.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+14.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Digital Research | R+12.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mellman Group | R+8.0 | 14.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-11-017
SurveyUSA2008-10-309
YouGov2008-10-253
SurveyUSA2008-10-1912
Market Decisions Research2008-10-196
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Maine Senate race?
Susan M. Collins (R) won, by about 22.8 points (R+22.8).
When was the 2008 Maine Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.