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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Montana Senate
In the 2008 Montana Senate race, Max Baucus (D) won by about 46 points.
Actual result
D+45.8
Final polls said
D+36.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+45.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+33.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+28.0 | 17.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2008-11-011
YouGov2008-10-2518
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-09-0813
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Montana Senate race?
Max Baucus (D) won, by about 45.8 points (D+45.8).
When was the 2008 Montana Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.