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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Montana Senate
In the 2008 Montana Senate race, Max Baucus (D) won by about 46 points.
Actual result
D+45.8
Final polls said
D+36.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+45.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+33.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+28.0 | 17.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2008-11-011
YouGov2008-10-2518
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-09-0813
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Montana Senate race?
Max Baucus (D) won, by about 45.8 points (D+45.8).
When was the 2008 Montana Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.