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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
New Hampshire Senate
In the 2008 New Hampshire Senate race, Jeanne Shaheen (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+6.3
Final polls said
D+8.2
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+6.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | GfK Group | D+6.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+8.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+8.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Suffolk University | D+9.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | FTI Consulting | D+9.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+3.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | American Research Group | D+12.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | SurveyUSA | D+13.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 10 | Saint Anselm College Survey Center | D+14.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
22 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-11-010
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-302
American Research Group2008-10-296
SurveyUSA2008-10-297
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-10-281
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Hampshire Senate race?
Jeanne Shaheen (D) won, by about 6.3 points (D+6.3).
When was the 2008 New Hampshire Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.