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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
New Mexico Senate
In the 2008 New Mexico Senate race, Tom Udall (D) won by about 23 points.
Actual result
D+22.7
Final polls said
D+16.6
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+21.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+19.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Grove Insight | D+16.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+15.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+14.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+14.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-309
Public Policy Polling2008-10-294
Research & Polling Inc.2008-10-299
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-288
YouGov2008-10-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Mexico Senate race?
Tom Udall (D) won, by about 22.7 points (D+22.7).
When was the 2008 New Mexico Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.