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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
New Mexico Senate
In the 2008 New Mexico Senate race, Tom Udall (D) won by about 23 points.
Actual result
D+22.7
Final polls said
D+16.6
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+21.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+19.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Grove Insight | D+16.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+15.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+14.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+14.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-309
Public Policy Polling2008-10-294
Research & Polling Inc.2008-10-299
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-288
YouGov2008-10-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Mexico Senate race?
Tom Udall (D) won, by about 22.7 points (D+22.7).
When was the 2008 New Mexico Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.