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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Virginia Senate
In the 2008 Virginia Senate race, Mark R. Warner (D) won by about 31 points.
Actual result
D+31.3
Final polls said
D+28.3
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+31.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+31.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | FTI Consulting | D+29.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs | D+34.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Big Village | D+28.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | D+35.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Policy Polling | D+26.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | GfK Group | D+26.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 9 | YouGov | D+25.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 10 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+25.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 11 | SurveyUSA | D+24.0 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 12 | Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership | D+24.0 | 7.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
27 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2008-11-015
SurveyUSA2008-10-317
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-10-290
ABC News/The Washington Post2008-10-260
FTI Consulting2008-10-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Virginia Senate race?
Mark R. Warner (D) won, by about 31.3 points (D+31.3).
When was the 2008 Virginia Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.