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Toss-up · 2009 House
California House
In the 2009 California House race, John Garamendi (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.0
Final polls said
D+10.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+10.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2009-10-270
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2009 California House race?
John Garamendi (D) won, by about 10.0 points (D+10.0).
When was the 2009 California House election held?
It was held in November 2009.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.