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Toss-up · 2009 House
New York House
In the 2009 New York House race, Scott Murphy (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.5
Final polls said
R+2.3
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | D+4.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Benenson Strategy Group | R+7.0 | 7.5 | ✗ |
| 3 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+21.0 | 21.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2009-03-253
Siena College2009-03-095
Benenson Strategy Group2009-02-248
Siena College2009-02-1813
Public Opinion Strategies2009-02-0322
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2009 New York House race?
Scott Murphy (D) won, by about 0.5 points (D+0.5).
When was the 2009 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2009.