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Toss-up · 2009 House
New York House
In the 2009 New York House race, the Democratic-Republican margin was D+42.6. This was not a two-party contest, so that margin does not identify the winner and VotePredictor does not name one.
Actual result
D+42.6
Final polls said
D+17.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | D+30.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+21.0 | 21.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Neighborhood Research and Media | D+15.0 | 27.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Basswood Research | D+7.0 | 35.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+10.0 | 52.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2009-11-019
Public Policy Polling2009-10-3118
Siena College2009-10-2823
Neighborhood Research and Media2009-10-2524
Basswood Research2009-10-2432
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2009 New York House race?
VotePredictor does not publish a winner for this race. It tracks the two-party Democratic-Republican margin, which was D+42.6, and this was not a two-party contest — so that margin does not identify the winner.
When was the 2009 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2009.