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Toss-up · 2009 House
New York House
In the 2009 New York House race, William L. Owens (D) won by about 39 points.
Actual result
D+39.2
Final polls said
D+17.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | D+30.0 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+21.0 | 18.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Neighborhood Research and Media | D+15.0 | 24.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Basswood Research | D+7.0 | 32.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+10.0 | 49.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2009-11-019
Public Policy Polling2009-10-3118
Siena College2009-10-2823
Neighborhood Research and Media2009-10-2524
Basswood Research2009-10-2432
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2009 New York House race?
William L. Owens (D) won, by about 39.2 points (D+39.2).
When was the 2009 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2009.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.