Actual result
R+15.7
Final polls said
R+16.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+15.2
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+15.2 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of South Alabama Polling Group | R+13.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+20.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of South Alabama Polling Group | 2010-10-14 | 777 | R+13.0 | 3 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-09-21 | 500 | R+20.0 | 4 |